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The Final Days of the Office of Thrift Supervision

| May 22, 2012 | Analysis

One David Zaring.png question posed by the recent financial crisis was whether our confusing and disaggregated approach to financial regulation in the United States was to blame for the downturn. Did our regulators fail to identify weaknesses in the financial intermediaries they oversaw that they should have seen?

Dain Donelson and I attempted to answer part of this question by studying the performance of the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) during the crisis. OTS was the smallest federal banking regulator, the one most criticized by Congress for its performance, and the only agency sanctioned in the Dodd-Frank Act: it was eliminated, and its functions were moved elsewhere in the Treasury Department. Our research examined a particularly disparaging criticism of OTS: did this agency offer banks soft touch regulation as a way of competing for supervision fees against more rigorous regulators?
We did not find much evidence in support of this oft-proffered view. We compared thrifts to banks, charter-switchers, which are institutions that took up or gave up thrift charters in the years leading to the crisis, to other thrifts and banks, and bailout recipients to non-bailout recipients to discover if any of these institutions did poorly when compared to their peers during the financial crisis.
In stock chart.jpg our comparison of publicly traded thrifts with publicly traded banks during 2008—the critical year of the crisis—we found that thrifts fared only marginally worse than banks, if at all, during that year. This result modestly suggests that the multi-regulator regime, however illogical, did not concentrate instability in a particular industry subject to a weak regulator.
Likewise, when we compared thrift and bank performance to those institutions that chose to switch regulators immediately before and during the financial crisis, we found no significant differences in returns among either institutions that converted their federal bank charters to federal thrift charters, or institutions that their converted federal thrift charters to bank charters, although our samples of these institutions are small.
Finally, in examining the bailout propensity of these charter-switchers, our results suggested that institutions switching to thrift charters were big enough to receive bailout money from the government, but they did not. Conversely, we found that institutions switching away from thrift charters received more bailout money than their size would suggest. This finding may suggest some, possibly misplaced, dissatisfaction with the performance of OTS among federal government officials, which may have contributed to the decision to eliminate it in the Dodd-Frank Act passed in the wake of the crisis.
Adjusted Zaring chart.png returns for publicly banks and thrifts during 2008 tracked each other quite closely. And, when thrifts started doing worse than banks, towards the end of the year, the difference was not statistically significant. The accompanying table shows the cumulative adjusted returns for thrifts and banks during 2008.
Dain and I do not for a moment believe that our research offers a definitive bit of evidence in the case for or against the practice of charter shopping, or the merits of an environment where regulators compete against one another. But, it is, at least, something to think about when thinking about the conventional wisdom as to what went wrong during—and leading up to—the financial crisis.
David Zaring is an Assistant Professor of Legal Studies and Business Ethics at the Wharton School of Business.

 


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